RUMonitorlow confidence

Russia Risk

Russia is on monitor; another independent evidence family would move it into a warning band.

Updated 11/11/2026, 11:00:10 PM · evidence refreshes with the live dashboard
28
country risk score
CountriesDashboard
Current change
+100.0%
business jets · vs baseline

Leading receipt: Bizjets +100%. 2 flights vs 1 observed baseline

Forecast frame

No clean market proxy has cleared the current ETI/AEC filter for Russia.

Watch for
  • A second independent evidence family joining the country chain

Risk cools if the country loses independent confirmation for 24h and priced-market stress stops widening.

Coverage
1
signals
1
families
100%
ETI feeds
97%
priced

Coverage says what the system could observe; confidence says how many independent evidence families agree. They are deliberately not the same thing.

Country aviation
2
now
1
base
+100%
delta

Business-jet activity over Russia, measured against its observed median baseline.

Market implication cards

0 reads · research only
No listed market implication cleared the current Russia filter.

Evidence receipts

1 active receipts · 1 independent evidence families · live