bizjet40
Bizjets +100%
2 flights vs 1 observed baseline
OpenSky Network ↗contribution 40/100
Russia is on monitor; another independent evidence family would move it into a warning band.
Leading receipt: Bizjets +100%. 2 flights vs 1 observed baseline
No clean market proxy has cleared the current ETI/AEC filter for Russia.
Risk cools if the country loses independent confirmation for 24h and priced-market stress stops widening.
Coverage says what the system could observe; confidence says how many independent evidence families agree. They are deliberately not the same thing.
Business-jet activity over Russia, measured against its observed median baseline.
2 flights vs 1 observed baseline