JPWarnmedium confidence

Japan Risk

Japan is in a medium-confidence warning band; watch for priced-market confirmation inside the next 24-72h.

50
country risk score
CountriesDashboard
Forecast frame

If signals persist, the cleanest market read is short EWJ over days to weeks.

Watch for
  • FX, parallel-dollar, or sovereign-spread continuation
  • Geopolitical news flow confirming the aviation signal

Risk cools if the country loses independent confirmation for 24h and priced-market stress stops widening.

Signal quality
3
signals
3
sources
2
markets

Multiple independent sources matter more than one loud reading. This page is strongest when local signals and priced-market confirmation move together.

Country aviation
1
now
1
base
+0%
delta

Business-jet activity over Japan, measured against its observed median baseline.

Market implication cards

2 reads · research only
EWJShort34%
Japan ETF
country

EWJ is the cleanest listed country proxy for Japan risk repricing.

px$92.7124h+0.6%5d+2.2%horizondays to weeks
  • EWJ +0.6% 24h; priced country ETF stress for JP.
  • Spread Z2.1σ: JP 10Y − US10Y = -194bps
  • 1 named jet: Named-jet watchlist match over asia_pacific · region-wide
GOLDLong28%
Barrick Gold
AEC

Research long GOLD Country signals in Japan overlap with gold miner with em operations.

24hn/a5dn/ahorizonweeks to months
  • AEC overlap: FX volatility 54/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
  • yields: Spread Z2.1σ

Signal receipts

3 active · live
yields37

Spread Z2.1σ

JP 10Y − US10Y = -194bps

spotlight14

1 named jet

Named-jet watchlist match over asia_pacific · region-wide

fx4

JPY weak

Z30d 1.13σ · -0.2% 24h