BRWarnmedium confidence

Brazil Risk

Brazil is on monitor; one more independent signal would move it into a warning band.

49
country risk score
CountriesDashboard
Forecast frame

If signals persist, the cleanest market read is short EWZ over days to weeks.

Watch for
  • FX, parallel-dollar, or sovereign-spread continuation
  • Geopolitical news flow confirming the aviation signal
  • On-the-ground deterioration from unrest, humanitarian, or hazard feeds

Risk cools if the country loses independent confirmation for 24h and priced-market stress stops widening.

Signal quality
3
signals
3
sources
2
markets

Multiple independent sources matter more than one loud reading. This page is strongest when local signals and priced-market confirmation move together.

Country aviation
1
now
1
base
+0%
delta

Business-jet activity over Brazil, measured against its observed median baseline.

Market implication cards

2 reads · research only
EWZShort34%
Brazil ETF
country

EWZ is the cleanest listed country proxy for Brazil risk repricing.

px$35.1024h+0.8%5d+3.2%horizondays to weeks
  • EWZ +0.8% 24h; priced country ETF stress for BR.
  • Crisis news +63%: latam crisis volume +63% vs 24h avg · region-wide
  • Relief signal 33: Green forest fire notification in Brazil
GOLDLong28%
Barrick Gold
AEC

Research long GOLD Country signals in Brazil overlap with gold miner with em operations.

24hn/a5dn/ahorizonweeks to months
  • AEC overlap: FX volatility 54/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
  • gdelt: Crisis news +63%

Signal receipts

3 active · live
gdelt29

Crisis news +63%

latam crisis volume +63% vs 24h avg · region-wide

humanitarian19

Relief signal 33

Green forest fire notification in Brazil

fx5

BRL weak

Z30d 1.16σ · -1.0% 24h